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Toronto’s 2025–2026 Winter Forecast: Colder Days, Less Snow

Aug 28, 2025 | Community News

August 28, 2025

Toronto residents can expect a winter that feels every bit as cold as usual — but with less snow than in past years, according to the Farmer’s Almanac 2025–2026 forecast.

The long-range outlook predicts below-normal snowfall for Southern Ontario’s eastern end, including Toronto. This means the city is unlikely to see as many major snowstorms as in previous winters. Still, Torontonians shouldn’t put away their snow shovels just yet — notable snowfalls are expected in late November, early February, and mid-February, bringing bursts of wintry weather to the region.

While snow may be lighter overall, temperatures will trend colder than average. The chilliest stretches are forecast for mid-to-late December, early and late January, and early February, bringing plenty of frosty mornings and icy evenings.

The Almanac also warns of the possibility of the polar vortex dipping southward, which could briefly deliver extreme cold snaps and heavier snowfall, even if only for short bursts.

For daily life, this means Torontonians can still expect slippery roads, icy sidewalks, and the usual seasonal challenges — just with fewer big snow accumulations. Winter gear, salt, and warm coats will remain essential.

In summary, Toronto’s upcoming winter looks like this:

  • ❄️ Less overall snow than in past years

  • 🥶 Colder-than-normal temperatures

  • 🌨️ Snowiest periods: late November, early February, and mid-February

  • 🌬️ Potential polar vortex events bringing short-lived but intense cold

So while this year’s winter may bring some relief from frequent heavy snowfalls, the cold will still bite just as hard — making it a classic Toronto winter in every sense.

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